Bernstein has sharply increased its outlook for the prediction-market industry, now estimating that annual trading volume could reach $10 trillion by 2035. The new projection is 10 times larger than the firm’s previous forecast of $1 trillion by 2030, which was issued just five months earlier. The revised estimate signals a substantially more expansive view of the market’s potential over the coming decade. Bernstein’s latest figure refers to yearly activity across prediction markets and extends the forecast horizon to 2035. The firm’s earlier $1 trillion estimate covered 2030, making the two forecasts different in both scale and timing. No additional details on the assumptions behind the updated projection were provided in the supplied report.
