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Why Bitcoin Forecasting Models Can Mistake Market Noise for Signals
CryptoSlate reviews Bitcoin price models ranging from halving-based scarcity and on-chain metrics to power-law charts and AI systems, focusing on the risk that increasingly complex approaches may memorize historical market noise.
Fed Note Highlights Double-Counting Risk in Stablecoin Money Measures
Federal Reserve staff research says stablecoins could theoretically fit into M1 or M2, but reserve overlap and offshore circulation make it difficult to measure their liquidity impact without risking double-counting.
Bitcoin Moves Above Key Bear-Market Recovery Level as $82,000 Is Reached
Bitcoin rose above $82,000 and crossed its 50-week moving average, a level Galaxy Research says ended four of five comparable bear markets. Confirmation requires a weekly close, while CryptoSlate warned of a possible move toward $62,000.
Bitcoin’s Four-Year Cycle Faces a Possible Wall Street-Style Shift
Analyst Willy Woo suggests Bitcoin could be moving from its traditional four-year cycle toward a six-to-eight-year macro rhythm. Recent research, however, indicates that the established pattern may still be present.
Sony Rejects $508 Million Tariff Refund Claim From PS5 Buyers
Sony has rejected a $508 million tariff refund claim from PS5 buyers as “illogical,” Decrypt reports. The dispute follows a second PlayStation price increase in March, five weeks after the tariffs were struck down.
Memecoin Trading Outpaced Direct Stock Markets on Robinhood Chain
Memecoin pairs involving Robinhood’s tokenized stocks recorded $217 million in volume on Robinhood Chain on Sept. 2, exceeding the $127 million traded in direct stock-token markets, according to data compiled by Adam Tehc.
Layer-1 blockchain freezes for four hours after $4.9 million exploit
CryptoSlate reported that a layer-1 blockchain paused for about four hours after a $4.9 million exploit. An emergency patch disabled binary-options settlement, while researchers linked an address holding roughly 1,980 ETH to the incident.
Circle’s cirBTC held 40 BTC at Aug. 27 snapshot as Arc becomes next distribution test
Circle’s cirBTC held 40 BTC and was overcollateralized at its Aug. 27 snapshot, but remained thousands of times smaller than WBTC and cbBTC. Arc is set to become the product’s next distribution test.
SEC Reviews Automatic ETF Filing Routes as Crypto and Event Products Expand
The SEC is reviewing automatic filing pathways after a wave of proposals for crypto, leveraged, private-asset and election- or economic-event-linked ETFs reached the market, CryptoSlate reports.
Debasement Trade Is Here Thanks to Government Debt — And Bitcoin Will Benefit: Grayscale
Grayscale’s research team says bitcoin is benefiting from the so-called debasement trade, which Bitcoin Magazine linked to government debt. The asset manager said the environment could support bitcoin.
Small US-linked Bitcoin Transfer Renews Questions Over Strategic Reserve Sale Rules
A small Bitcoin transfer from a US government-tagged wallet has renewed market concerns about possible sales of forfeited BTC and highlighted questions over the scope of the Strategic Bitcoin Reserve’s “shall not be sold” provision.