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Historical data points to strong average gains for bitcoin and the S&P 500 in the year after U.S. midterm elections. Bitcoin’s pattern may reflect its four-year halving cycle, while the 2026 vote could also reshape debates over debt, defense spending and crypto oversight.
US spot Bitcoin ETFs drew $176 million on Tuesday, taking two-day inflows to $286 million and narrowing October’s deficit. Bitcoin traded above $80,000, while Ether ETFs continued to see withdrawals and October outflows reached $1.32 billion.
Bitcoinjs-lib has fixed two bugs that could cause Bitcoin applications to underestimate transaction fees when processing PSBTs. The flaws affected several v5, v6 and v7 releases, while actual losses required a valid, authorized transaction to be broadcast and accepted.
Datavault AI shares dropped 49.55% after the company said it could not withdraw bitcoin held at Biconomy since June. The disclosure will trigger a financial restatement and reduce reported assets by $92.2 million at the end of 2025 and $49 million as of June 2026.
Bitcoin recovered toward $81,000 before the Federal Reserve’s rate decision, while Zcash led major cryptocurrencies higher with an 8% gain. Galaxy said Bitcoin’s bear market likely ended in June, but traders remained focused on possible signals about a December rate increase.
Polymarket’s five-minute Bitcoin markets now use 60-second averaged benchmarks rather than single snapshots. Early research found that a previously observed Binance settlement-time trading pattern subsided, but it did not establish current wallet profits or eliminate every possible manipulation strategy.
VanEck has launched the Wealth Builder ETF, an actively managed fund combining stocks, bonds, gold and other real assets with a 2% target allocation to Bitcoin. The Bitcoin exposure can range from 1% to 5% and is obtained through a spot Bitcoin ETP.
OpenAI says its AI system has challenged the Exponential Time Hypothesis through a result involving SAT problems. Researchers are reviewing the claim, but it does not establish a practical attack on Bitcoin’s mining process, private keys or signature systems.
Stacks co-founder Muneeb Ali says uncertainty over Bitcoin’s ability to withstand future quantum-computing attacks is already restraining institutional investment. He called for a credible security-upgrade roadmap, warning that delays could undermine confidence before a practical quantum threat emerges.
Bitcoin recovered toward $80,500 after briefly falling below $80,000, with traders watching the Federal Reserve’s rate decision and November midterms. Potential changes to crypto legislation, continued spot ETF outflows and bitcoin’s distance from its 2025 record are shaping the market backdrop.
VanEck has launched WBMO, an actively managed ETF combining global stocks, bonds, gold and other real assets with indirect bitcoin exposure. The fund trades on the NYSE, charges a 0.26% net expense ratio and does not hold bitcoin directly.
A 27-year-old St. Louis man pleaded guilty to helping plan an attempted robbery targeting a Connecticut family’s bitcoin. The operation failed after surveillance concerns, but a second crew later arrived and was arrested following an alleged violent carjacking involving the target’s parents.
The CFTC is reportedly investigating whether Polymarket breached its 2022 settlement by allowing US users onto its offshore exchange. The inquiry examines location controls, domestic advertising and customer onboarding as scrutiny grows around the prediction-market platform.
Keystone will destroy 18,835 unsold hardware wallets after an attacker obtained the permanent key used to authenticate its devices. The company also disclosed 25,964 exposed buyer records and warned customers about counterfeit wallets, impersonation scams and fraudulent recall requests.
The US midterm elections could determine whether the CLARITY Act advances or remains stalled, TD Cowen says. A Democratic sweep would be the biggest obstacle, while a Republican Senate—or a wider Republican victory—could improve the bill’s prospects.
Brazilian companies sharply increased trading in USDT and bitcoin as they reacted to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva’s unexpected election victory. Corporate accounts generated 78% of Mercado Bitcoin’s volume, while the real and Brazilian stocks suffered steep losses the following day.
Lucho Poletti’s ten-part “Ten Decrees” series reimagines Bosch and Bruegel paintings as a critique of monetary power, fiat currency and bitcoin. The detailed works will be presented at Bitcoin Amsterdam, with the final drawing scheduled for the Genesis Block anniversary.
SoFi shares climbed 14.6% to $16.56 after record third-quarter results, higher full-year guidance and crypto products reaching 503,070. Crypto activity grew, but net crypto transaction revenue was only $1.6 million, or 0.1% of total net revenue.
